Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 1.198591 1.418701 1.648703 1.905442 2.182580 2.471409 2.793889
2025-01-19 0.926191 1.241416 1.591193 2.001484 2.463605 2.962805 3.537887
2025-01-26 0.798102 1.166921 1.592928 2.108247 2.703232 3.358854 4.126787
2025-02-02 0.707335 1.120151 1.614245 2.227545 2.949915 3.758304 4.717161
2025-02-09 0.648176 1.099756 1.656587 2.362162 3.206120 4.161630 5.305560
2025-02-16 0.575105 1.051034 1.656450 2.439611 3.390513 4.479091 5.793695
2025-02-23 0.492472 0.978621 1.618399 2.464050 3.506519 4.713086 6.182561
2025-03-02 0.384376 0.856196 1.505339 2.386662 3.493078 4.790234 6.385520
2025-03-09 0.289273 0.738053 1.387292 2.294178 3.454083 4.831483 6.541684
2025-03-16 0.223945 0.655167 1.309597 2.247318 3.466094 4.929112 6.760020
2025-03-23 0.190382 0.620287 1.296516 2.283165 3.579830 5.147764 7.120353
2025-03-30 0.155812 0.577216 1.267628 2.294941 3.660979 5.325423 7.430851
2025-04-06 0.113286 0.511637 1.203817 2.261643 3.690206 5.448088 7.687244
2025-04-13 0.101921 0.509676 1.238641 2.366442 3.900105 5.795546 8.217275
2025-04-20 0.094238 0.514183 1.282732 2.483492 4.125316 6.161342 8.768845
2025-04-27 0.089375 0.524481 1.335998 2.613739 4.368284 6.549838 9.348815
2025-05-04 0.087495 0.541788 1.400706 2.760487 4.633267 6.966109 9.962986
2025-05-11 0.076850 0.533803 1.422397 2.844752 4.815421 7.279164 10.452136
2025-05-18 0.060224 0.504152 1.405314 2.871325 4.920027 7.494704 10.822363
2025-05-25 0.035326 0.435658 1.315400 2.787150 4.873820 7.518920 10.957595
2025-06-01 0.016580 0.367458 1.217991 2.686423 4.801331 7.506950 11.045939
2025-06-08 0.007135 0.321631 1.156098 2.635328 4.793009 7.573539 11.228062
2025-06-15 0.003994 0.306818 1.153032 2.674418 4.908345 7.797964 11.605232